Home Blog Page 3

Suspects Arrested for Using Fake Passports to Send Workers Overseas

Security forces of the Myanmar – Thai Friendship Bridge I in Myawaddy – Mae Sot crossing seized 11 fake Myanmar passports from 11 Myanmar youths, in December 2024.
Investigations found that Managing Director Nwe Ni Hlaing Min and Director Khin Maung Shwe (aka) Bala of One Asia job agency from Kyauk Ta Dar township of Yangon took 8 million Kyats from each nine people out of 11, whereas Managing Director Su Myat (aka) Su Myat Nanda Win from Hlan Htet travel agency from 3rd floor of Central Tower in Kyauktada township took 7 million Kyats each from the remaining two. In exchange the eleven received fake Myanmar passports from these agencies to cross the border into Thailand via Myawaddy.

They also arranged to send them to Malaysia from Thailand through illegal routes. The Myawaddy Myoma police station filed cases against the above owners/directors of these agencies. Police in Yangon has also apprehended the suspects in Yangon. The agencies also admitted to making fake legal residence permit card TR-38 pink cards issued by the Thai government. The creator of fake passports, John Ko, now under arrest, has admitted to making around 750 fake Myanmar passports so far.

Is Ai Really that Deep?

Deepseek (shēndù qiúsuô – which literally translated as ‘depth seek search’) is the latest
deep learning Ai (Artificial Intelligence) model coming out of China and taking the the Ai world by storm. Headlines included:
-Insane Performance
-Ai Breakthrough
-Deepseek is Insane
-This is scary
-OpenAI (Chat Gpt) replacement
-Next revolution in coding
-Best LLM (Large Language Model)
-Deepseek shocks Ai industry
Deepseek just revolutionise Ai forever among many other positives that Ai experts and reviewers have attributed to the newly appeared open sourced LLM model by a Chinese Ai company.
The Company itself is fully funded by Chinese hedge fund High-flyer. Both Deepseek and High-flyer are stationed in Hangzhou, Zhejiang. The city known as the ‘House of Silk’ during old times, now houses many of the China and global tech giants. Advanced manufacturing, IT, research, Ai, all happening in this city of 13 million people.
Trump vision of keeping America ahead of China in the Ai world may now be in tatters. Even Eric Schmidt (ex-google CEO) has to revise his statement of last year that China is behind US by at least 2-3 years in the world of Ai. He recently said, after the unveiling of Deepseek, that China did a lot of catchup in the past six months to get to par with the US. Sam Altman, CEO of open Ai, even took a jab at Deepseek, saying, “It is relatively easy to copy something that you know works. It is extremely difficult to do something new, risky, and difficult when you don’t know if it will work”.
The bottom line is that Deepseek is performing at par or exceeding the OpenAI at benchmark tests and that’s when the pricing comes into play. Deepseek model delivers almost the same performance at around 96% discount. ($100 vs $4).
What is Deepseek R1?
Deepseek R1 model is gunning straight for OpenAI’s throne. Imagine getting performance similar to OpenAI’s o1 or even the o1 Pro, but for free (or 4%% the cost for the API). Deepseek lets you run R1 on your own machine or the cloud if you prefer. And yes, Deepseek also have an app version.
Unlike o1, which locks researchers out with a black-box approach, R1 offers transparency. It’s open-source, meaning developers can study, modify, and even fine-tune it freely under an MIT license. This openness has drawn praise from AI experts, many of whom describe it as the next big thing in AI.
While o1 Pro costs a steep $200/month, DeepSeek-R1 provides nearly the same functionality for free—or at an unbelievably low price. This has got a lot of users thinking on whether they should continue or cancel their $200 OpenAI subscriptions.
How deep is your learning?
DeepSeek-R1 excels in multiple domains:
Reasoning and Analytics: Matches OpenAI o1 in chemistry, mathematics, and even coding challenges.Efficient and Runs Locally: Deepseek can run smoothly on devices with limited computational power, such as smartphones or personal laptops, thanks to “distilled” versions of the model. Versatility: Runs both locally and on servers, giving users control over their data and processes. This flexibility extends to features like accessing the web, handling complex tasks, and processing uploaded PDFs, which it performs seamlessly.
However, as with most models, it occasionally hallucinates answers to abstract questions. But its ability to execute practical tasks outweighs these quirks. A couple of reviewers did complain about bias in answers generated out of Deepseek too.Value proposition

One of Deepseek R1’s most game-changing aspects is its cost-effectiveness. For example, tasks that cost $300 on OpenAI o1 can be executed for under $10 with R1. This affordability has made high-performance AI attainable for smaller businesses, researchers, and developers without significant budgets.

DeepSeek’s success is not just about technical breakthroughs but also about overcoming geopolitical challenges. Despite U.S. export restrictions on latest Nvidia advanced AI chips, DeepSeek built R1 efficiently and affordably using older chips. This demonstrates that innovation is not solely dependent on massive budgets or cutting-edge hardware.
The AI community has taken notice, with users worldwide testing and integrating R1. Developers are using it to create tools like Perplexity AI clones, chat apps for PDF analysis, and browser-based AI solutions—all at remarkably lower costs and faster speeds.

Open AI has introduced o3 mini, a new reasoning model, now available for free. Plus-tier subscribers also benefit from extensive o3 mini usage. However, while Deepseek AI offers unlimited access and o3 mini comes with significant limitations. This still makes OpenAI much more expensive than DeepSeek, which remains essentially free.
The potential applications for DeepSeek R1 are limitless. DeepSeek is transforming AI from an elite tool into a universal resource—accessible, affordable, and open for everyone. The question isn’t whether it will change the game. It already has. In a world where AI seems to be getting more expensive and exclusive, DeepSeek feels like a breath of fresh air. Sure, it’s not perfect, but it’s close enough to make the big players nervous. And that’s saying something. From political perspective, it could be the evidence of China rolling out the concept of ‘shared prosperity’ globally.

Let’s use it now!

If you haven’t checked it out yet, go to chat.deepseek.com to try out the depth of its brain. You can also install the Deepseek app available on the App Store and the Google Play Store. It has the logo of a light blue whale.

The Rebels’ Swan Song or Tatmadaw Pyrrhic victory?

Previously in my article on how to know if the Myanmar military is losing, I stated inter alia that, losing the regional command centres would be a canary in the coal mine. Regrettably it happened and now the rebels and the terrorist forces have significantly more territories under their control than a year ago.

I don’t want to be a wet blanket to those who are hoping for the Tatmadaw to recover the lost ground. The writing is already on the wall when these regional command centres fell. It surely is a bitter pill to swallow in the history of Tatmadaw.

Until the first week of January 2025, Yangon – Nay Pyi Taw expressway seems to be a sanctuary and out of harm’s way for civil servants and other travellers plying this route. They neither have to hide their identities nor dress differently. They need not be in fear of being identified as civil servants and get kidnapped or killed. That all changed on the January 11 when PDF terrorists came up to 110 mile marker, along the highway, trying to do the same thing that they did along Nay Pyi Taw – Mandalay expressway last month. Security forces nearby quickly arrived before they can terrorise and start blackmailing the travellers and civilians. Things did not end there. On January 14 early morning, another group of terrorists tried the same trick again, attempting the same terrorist propaganda show on the freeway near Thar Ga Ya at 170 mile marker. This time security forces were closer and fired the some artillery at the upcoming terror brigade. The terrorists quickly

retreated into dense woods and villages in between.

There is no denying that NNCP terrorists become more emboldened as the fake news media spread numerous successful campaigns by the EAOs and rebel forces, on the northern and western fronts. This salient might be one of the series of rebels’ swan songs but unsuccessful it might be, the victory on the Tatmataw side may turn out to be a

pyrrhic one eventually.

After these events, even some ministers chickened out and travelled with all this entourage by plane to Yangon, instead of the usual land route.
On the individual front, I would urge people, especially civil servants and media personnel, to be doubly cautious and take extra precautions when travelling along the Yangon – Nay Pyi Taw expressway now. Better be safe than sorry. You will thank me later.

Sunset on the Horizon

According to the opinion of the majority, the Facebook has become a repertoire of Myanmar culture and civility online. Everyone in Myanmar under the disguise of anonymity seems to be somehow involved in trolling, swearing, slander and hate speech. With Facebook management now removing the factchecking algorithms to appease Trump, the aforementioned behaviours are likely to exacerbate. The elderly wonder why such type of uncouth behaviours and insolent curses come out of the most peaceful minds of the majority Buddhist populace.

Funding no longer comes easy

Along with obscenity, expletives, profanity and vulgarism, the keyboard warrior arm of NNCP terrorists thrive on the same Facebook. The West is always against calling them terrorists, preferring may be ‘Freedom fighters’ perhaps, but let’s keep the champagne on ice first, till after you finish reading this whole article. Targeting the military, government officials, pro government individuals and those they deem somehow related to the current administration, these terrorists had enjoyed support of the majority of the plebeians in 2021 and 2022. Their main aim is fund raising, even if the generosity of the educated segment has now run dry. In order to continue to receive funds from Myanmar diaspora and sympathisers, they have to be seen to continue to wage war against the current regime.

And waging wars is expensive. The NNCP forces do not have the complete control of specific territories. The ones that they are in are under the EAO’s (Ethnic Armed Organisations) authority. EAOs have income from land such as Wa from selling rare earths to China, Kachin from selling Jade to China and Kayins (Karens) getting rent for operating scam cities like Shwe Kok Ko on their lands near the border. Unlike the EAOs, NNCP group does not have income from the territories since they own none. Donations made up of the majority of their incomes. With Trump issuing executive order on January 24 to halt all foreign aid for 90 days, the funding for NNCP terror group, including their associated fake news media channels out of Chiang Mai, would not be as liquid as before. This change of US administration would push them to look for more retail donations. At the same time, since the latter is drying up too, they have to muster their performance to continue to squeeze blood out of the stone.

That means more assassinations, extra violence, new robberies, further kidnappings and guerrilla attacks. They may have to upscale their targets too, as the murders of teachers, civil servants, ward administrators would no longer wet their mob’s appetite. These actions also have turned off many who originally supported their cause, in the early years of the campaign. NNCP terrorists are in fact hoist by their own petard.

Beating a dead horse

The elections is support to be happening at the end of the year. So far there is no indication that the military government is not stepping down. They will be transition to the civilian government after the elections. Thereafter the country can continue to move forward. Then, why beat a dead horse!

With support from India and China and perhaps Thailand, the government can function without the West or ASEAN. There is no need to negotiate with NNCP people or give in to their demands. The fight for territories, win or lose, NNCPs are just pawns in the game of chess played between the government and the EAOs.

The only danger for the population is the one that I have mentioned above; more violence, new assassinations, etc., to enrich a few remaining ‘smart’ leaders of the terror group.

Trying to take out a journalist

On January 13, I received a message from my father, conveying the fact that the leaders of military intelligence and counter terrorism units warned him of myself being in the hit list of people to be assassinated within the month of January. Sure, I am pro Myanmar, hence anti disintegration of the country. Knowing the facts and extent of voters’ fraud, I cannot support someone who cheated in the election and the group trying to restore that administration. I strongly believe elections is the start of the way forward for the country.
Yet, as with all terrorists, any opinion holder who do not agree with them is their enemy. Even though I was totally not involved in the production of the infamous video of cele Phyu Phyu Htwe, I was targeted as the newsman who would stand for the truth and not stand on their side.

I had to temporarily move out of my house and stay in a hotel as a precautionary measure. The fake news agencies will shout their hearts out about press freedom and security of journalists, provided it concerns the journalists who agree with them. The ones who preach the truth based on hard facts, like myself, would have support of neither the government nor these news agencies, who extol the freedom of expression so much.

Audacity of Hope

If we are strictly following the 2008 constitution, an interim government has to be formed before the elections can take place. And the emergency government in charge now apparently cannot do that, according to the constitution. The latter is tasked with the main aim of trying get the country into stability (which obviously has not happened, hence rounds of six months extensions).
In an ideal situation, with enhanced security, the SAC is supposed to return the power to the National Defence and Security Council (NDSC). NDSC would form an interim government mainly tasked with holding the free and fair elections. You can obviously see the dilemma here, when the Senior General give the power to the NDSC, where the head of NDSC is the President.
Anyhow, we can see the shift in focus of the current regime from just simply playing the role of an emergency administration to focusing on the duties of a full fledged government; the forming of three commissions long overdue, after slight reshuffling of top defence positions within Tatmadaw.
First, one of the only two Navy Seals in Myanmar, Admiral Tin Aung San is no longer the Defence Minister. The writing is already on the wall, probably due to his over achievements on the rebels salients. He is still holding onto the DPM post after getting reassigned as a Minister for the PM office. It also means that two (navy) admirals are now ministers for PM office.
The second major shift happened when Joint Chief of Staff (for Army, Navy and Airforce) Maung Maung Aye was removed from the potential to be the future Senior General to become Tin Aung San’s replacement and take the position of one of the many DPMs. This position as the joint Chief is now occupied by a 53 years old young and upcoming Kyaw Swar Lin, who is currently in the best position to succeed the Senior General.

Trio of Committees
The first of the long overdue committees/commissions to address lack of co-ordination among ministries is the one for industrial development, headed by former #3 man himself, General Mya Tun Oo. Supported by ministers from industry, natural resources, electric power, energy, science and tech, construction, this commission is tasked with bringing Myanmar out of raw exports of agriculture and natural resources into becoming an industrial state.
But there can be no industrial development without sufficient and regular supply of electricity. Hence, the second commission: Electricity and Energy Development. Chaired by Admiral Tin Aung San, and supported by ministers of electric power, energy, investment, agriculture, rural development, natural resources, industry, commerce and science and tech, this ministers abundant commission is supposed to address the most pressing issue of everyone in the whole country. Whether this is just for PR or the top echelon of ministers can really do something to untie this Gordian knot, for the betterment of the country, only time will tell.
Last but not least, the agri and livestock development commission hopes to address consistently low yields in agri and livestock sectors, hoping to rescue the sector that employ 70% of the population, out of the backyard of productivity scores. Chaired by General Nyo Saw, the all powerful economic tsar who control the Tatmadaw economic enterprises. The team includes ministers from agriculture, investment, rural development, natural resources, industry, and commerce, this commission will really test the leadership skills of the General, whether he can really drive the development of these sectors or just a star behind the unpublished financials of MEC (Myanmar Economic Corporate) and MEH (Myanmar Economic Holdings).
In summary, the position of our top leadership has changed from just being here for just a while to planning for the development of country for the long term. How it would translate into specific actions and time horizons is up to anyone’s guess for the time being.

EV Bus Services in Yangon

Yangon is going EV all the way. EV private vehicle boom has been encouraged by the government through the abolition of import taxes on EVs. The imports become so popular that some auto traders are setting up entities to operate taxis from unsold stocks. Then came the coaches. Some of the popular coach companies are using EV tour buses to ply Yangon – Nay Pyi Taw route.The tide is not ending there. Now, another company has planned EV buses to be used in public transportation service in Yangon, said an official of the company.
“It is still underway. We need to seek approval for some requirements. The process is very strict so we need to ensure making our proposal more complete,” he said. Power Eleven Company is willing to test EV buses in YBS service so that weaknesses and advantages can be identified, and current buses are old, he said.
“We can identify weaknesses and advantages if we test it now. We will use EV buses in YBS services. It is very expensive and no one will consider trying it. But we won’t give up. It is less possible but we need to acquire feasibility. The problem is the project is very expensive so it might be difficult to ensure cost-effective. But we have planned to run on a trial so that we can identify its feasibility. It was not easy to run air-conditioned buses last seven or eight years, but we acquired feasibility to implement but lost as expected. However, we will have to try again after making calculations based on the data we acquired. It is impossible to do public transport like a commercial business,” he said.

Details on 2020 Election Fraud on Website and App

Interested parties across the world can read the final findings in the investigation of “voting fraud and unlawful acts”, of 2020 general election on the website and mobile application, starting from November 22.
Website and mobile app highlight the frauds and attempted frauds in the pre-electoral period, actions in the electoral period and events in the post-electoral period, verification over voter lists of 315 town ships in the entire country, investigation on the ground and findings in investigation over the whole event of the election, revocation of the electoral results of the 2020 multiparty democratic general election, reviews on the 2020 multiparty democratic general election, and documentary photos.
The details are available in five languages: Myanmar, English, Chinese, Russian and Japanese. The website address is https://2020election.uec.gov.mm and on mobile app can also be downloaded from the site.

The New Media Council

New members of the Myanmar Press Council were announced on November 21 as follows:
1. Dr Tin Htun Oo                                                 Chairperson
2. U Khin Maung Zaw                                            Vice-Chairperson 1
3.U Khin Maung Kyaw Din                                      Vice-Chairperson 2
4. U Tin Ko Ko                                                      Treasurer
5. U Sein Toe (Sann Lin)                                        Auditor
6. Dr Zaw Than                                                     Member
7. Professor Dr Mya Thein Han                               Member
8. Dr Khin Maung Lwin                                          Member
9. Dr Tin Aung Khaing                                           Member
10. U Aung Kyi (Aung Kyi Nyunt – Tetkatho)            Member
11. U Myint Thein (Maung Maung Myint Thein)        Member
12. U Kyi Nyunt                                                    Member
13. Dr Sann Oo                                                    Member
14. U Myat Soe (Myat Soe – Hlaing)                       Member
15. U Thaik Htun                                                  Member
16. U Okka Aye                                                    Member
17. U Win Naing (Min Set Paing)                            Member
18. U San Lwin                                                     Member
19. U Pyay Soe Han                                              Member
20. U Tin Win (Tin Win Lay – Kyimyindine)              Member
21. Daw Nila Myo Oo                                            Member
22. Daw Hnin Aye Khaing                                      Member
23. U Aye Chan                                                    Secretary
24. U Hla Htut Oo (Cartoon Hla Htut)                     Joint Secretary 1
25. U Ye Min Soe (Maung Mawk Wutlon)                 Joint Secretary 2
Among the 25, 12 were directly designated by the government, 11 were appointed by the organisations such as Writers Association and UMFCCI. Only two is democratically elected to join the council, the General Secretary being one of these two. He is also the publisher of  our beloved Myanmar Insider.

Getting Fed Up with Electrical Supply – MI Finds the Answers

An Interview with an insider from Myanmar Electrical Supply Enterprise, who obviously wishes to remain anonymous. He has been with the Ministry since he graduated from Institute of Technology until he retired some years ago.

Why is the electrical supply situation in Myanmar so so bad?
It all boils down to management.

Are we talking about management by the central government or management within the ministry?
The level of management by the ministry is limited to managing its own work force and existing supply infrastructure. The ministry has no authority whatsoever to increase the supply of electricity. That decision is solely made by the central government i.e., at the cabinet level.
Let’s talk a bit about history. In 1960, we have completed the Law Pi Ta hydro power generation station, in Kayar State, with Japan war aid. There is an all year round waterfall in the area called Law Pi Ta, with the height of 280 ft. Using the power of that waterfall, the station started generating electricity from three turbines, with a total capacity of 164 Mega Watts (MW). In 1967, the electricity demand from Yangon city is only 48 MW. Current the demand from Yangon alone is more than 3,000 MW i.e., 3 Giga Watts. There is no way the total supply is sufficient to satisfy the demand at present.
From Law Pi Ta, the power was first transmitted to Taung Ngu substation via 230kVa lines for more than 200 miles and then to Hlaw Kar main substation. That power was Law Pi Ta was combined with other supplies from other stations in the latter substation. One such station in Yangon is ESB (Electrical Supply Board), that generates electricity from Ahlone area, using three turbines of 10 MW each and six turbines of 5 MW. These turbines can use either coal or furnace oil.
Along the transmission lines that go through deep forests and tall mountains, we have installed many circuit breakers, so the in the event of the birds collision, lightening or some other incidents, the transmission cables would not catch fire. Because of that the power could gone off all of a sudden, as soon as the supply got interrupted at the substations. Else, the substation would become suddenly overloaded with excess demand, destroying many expensive machinery and equipments. So, we have to cut off power quickly too to the Yangon city.
You cannot store electric power on a commercial basis. You can save some into batteries, but not on a commercial scale.

The reason for the electrical situation getting worse and worse, could be attributed to lack of new power stations like Law Pi Ta?
No, it is not true. Until the mid 70s, the power supply is still sufficient. Thereafter, the consumption continued to go up but the supply remains static. In the early 90s the demand already exceeded 100 MW in Yangon alone.
One of the reasons is lack of co-ordination at the very top of government. They believed that the issues related to power supply is the responsibility of the ministry (electric power), led by a minister.
When relating to gas supply, it is handled by ministry of energy, led by another minister. After we established additional hydro powered and many gas powered stations, the combined output of these stations were sufficient for the demand at the specific point of time. But we have no gas supply to run these turbines. According to the ministry of energy, gas is critical for foreign currency earnings. And the minister took enormous pride to show off the fact that he generated loads of $ for the country, in front of then defect-0 leader SG Than Shwe. Since the supply of natural gas to the Ministry of Electric Power was always limited, we could not operate the gas turbines up to their maximum capacity.

Since the gas supply from the ministry was always limited, why did we not go all in for hydro power?
Hydro power stations are more expensive to build and it can take like five years for one station to be functional. Contrast that with gas powered station – once you buy the gas turbines, they can be operated immediately once they are supplied with gas.
We did build more than five hydro power stations. But other than Shwe Li and Law Pi Ta the Japanese built, hydro stations are based on water supply from dams and these dams do run dry during the hot season, making the energy source unavailable for turbines to run.

Shwe Li is near Muse, close to the China border. SG Than Shwe was already committed to funding and building the power plant using internal funds. But the ministers from our ministry wanted to avoid taking responsibility to successfully accomplish this project. They knew it would require undivided attention and dedicated efforts. I guessed doing hard work for the country was not in their agenda. So they suggested an easier alternative for themselves; instead of us funding the whole thing ourselves, why don’t we do a joint venture with the Chinese and save money! The proposal was accepted by the country’s leaders and as a result, the Chinese constructed the station and took the output from four out of the six turbines available, to China. Eventually they did give the output back from all six, as the supplies in Yunnan became sufficient, but for a fee. What a good deal for the Chinese and vice versa.

Among the successive governments, which one did the best for electricity generation?
My guess would be SG Than Shwe government. May be they are in power for many years. They did try very hard to improve the electricity situation in Myanmar. But the issue was with the ministries. There was competition among ministries for credit and favours. Just to give you an example, the energy minister once said that giving gas for electric power generation is akin to burning money. He did not see the potential out of supplying sufficient power to public and businesses. This is just one case of animosities and strives among ministries.
That was year 2000+ situation, where the power generation was sufficient, but infighting caused shortages in supplies. Nowadays, the consumption has gone up so much that even if all turbines were sufficiently supplied, it would not be enough to satisfy the existing demand.
There was not one government who totally ignored the need to increase power supply. But the nature of power generation itself required some technical knowledge and expertise. It is not the same as other ministries or works. But I found most of the senior government personnel had very little understanding of it. The top brass may give green light for a generating plant, but they did not envisage the requirements further down the supply chain, such as transmission lines, substations and distribution networks.

In around year 2000 also, there were two ministries related to electric power? Why two?
I was deeply involved in changing the org structure of the original ministry into two; one for generation and one for transmission.
There was one time I distinctly remembered where General Soe Win (ex Prime Minister under SG Than Swe) and General Thein Sein (ex President) went to China one after another. China thereafter, announced how many millions (could not remember) had been loaned out for the development of Myanmar electrical sector. We did not get any of that money. Somehow, the co-ordinator of that loan was Tun Myint Naing, the Chairman of Asia World. I felt that if it is a G to G affair, middlemen should not be part of it.
We did asked for more money from SG and he did give some, but when you are doing with your own funds, you are limited in your scope as the funds are finite too.

What about the issue of Myit Sone project?
I believed Tun Myint Naing, Colonel Zaw Min (ex minister for electricity 1) and Tin Aung Myint Oo (ex vice president) are in one group. There are many internal complex dealings in this project. I praised president Thein Sein for bravely stopping this project.
It is my opinion that the weather for the whole country and the water flow along Ayeyarwaddy river would be adversely affected by the dam. I believed that project should never have started.
Actually there are still many dam sites on top of Myit Sone with potential for significant hydro power generation.

What do we need to have 24 by 7 power supply at least in Yangon?
We can set up a very large power plant near Yangon. The fuel could be coal or gas. Khin Mg Thein, who was an MD of our ministry and who later on got promoted to become the minister for energy, during that time, knowing that the power generation within the country is totally insufficient, decided to get the project to build the 200MW gas power plant, in Dala, right opposite of Yangon city. But the project got completely abandoned. When BG Lun Thi took over as minister of energy, after Khin Mg Thein’s transfer to ministry of finance, he told SG Than Swe that the project would used up lots of gas production (source of foreign income) within the country. I felt that the far-sightedness of Khin Mg Thein has been circumvented by short-sightedness of Lun Thi.
So one of the reasons for electrical failures in Myanmar is due to intense one-upmanship among ministers, while trying to gain favours from #1 guy at the top.

Government has just increased electricity prices roughly around 60+%; but service, frequency and supply did not increase. Why is that?
You have to know that the party responsible for increasing the prices are different from those entities proving service and supply. Hence, the latter continued as incompetently as usual.

Hyro, solar, gas, fuel or nuclear for Myanmar?
Other than nuclear, the rest should be made available in Myanmar. I said so because I know the character of Myanmar engineers, technicians and staff in general. Myanmar people character is such that they want to show off that they knew more than the SOPs and technical guidelines and disciplines. They will take short cuts, they will skip steps and they will definitely try to sidestep basic principles. Imagine them being in charge of a nuclear power plant. Probably a meltdown is imminent.
But this is just my opinion. I acknowledge that nuclear energy is a quick and clean way to get substantial power supply.

How much investment are we talking about, in generation, transmission, distribution, all in all, to rescue electricity sector in Yangon?
There is nothing much to be altered in Yangon. We just need to build a huge power plant near Yangon. That’s all we need. We need a minimum 3GW plant. I do not know the cost estimates.

Why so many duplicate lamp posts alongside of roads in Yangon? Why we cannot put our cables underground like other countries?
There are actually only two lamp posts; one by ministry of electric power and the other by posts and telecom. The latter ones are smaller posts. We cannot put them underground because we have no money for that. It is just a money issue. Some posts even got onto the roads as they was no co-ordination between the ministry and YCDC. They will correct or move the post whenever their budget come along or someone higher up makes a complaint.
As I said at the start, it’s all about management. We cannot simply leave this matter to negotiation between ministries. We need someone higher up to give them direct instructions for the betterment of the country.Electricity management Myanmar

Caught between the Devil and the Deep Blue Sea

Or, between a rock and a hard place; an idiom that means to be in a difficult situation where you have to choose between two equally unpleasant or inconvenient options. What could possibly reflect such a circumstance in Myanmar, especially politically?

Long before your time, in a country called Myanmar, there were elections. The popular leader who was somehow expected to win cheated in these elections. That is the most important fact (verifiable) that the West has to acknowledge. The cheating was so rampant that Myanmar has overtaken Japan in terms of population over the age of 100, in terms of number of centenarians voted. Myanmar became the country with the best healthcare in the world (despite consistently ranked among the lowest in the world, in fact, according to WHO). The elections fraud was so widespread that the total number of votes counted exceeded the eligible votes by 50% (33 million vs 22 million). Still many refused to believe provable stats and decided to follow the incorrect analogies and fake news.

Yet hind side is 20:20. We could have gotten international auditors or third parties to verify the frauds. We could have conducted press conferences in English and invited international journalists. We could have predicted that the easily gullible population and Facebook would turn the country into a mess. Well, past is in the past now.
After much back and forth, both China and India saw the truth. Thailand did not bother much since the beginning. ASEAN five points was undoable as the writer has said from day 1. EU is caught in a limbo.

The echelon governing the Union demand concrete steps to restore the power back to the fraudster. Yet the emissaries on the ground long for a negotiated solution to compete with the two giant powerhouses of Asia.

With 75th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Myanmar coming up next year, China is planning a bonanza of engagements to augment the increasing better relations between the two nations. India is not resting on its laurels either. Although falling behind China distinctly in terms of sponsorships, India is catching up through many think tanks and diplomatic and military exchanges. India navy officials did arrive on a friendly tour in December to travel around the country. The two navies have a very fruitful relationship that began nearly twenty years ago, resulting in the eventual acquisition of a submarine.

Trump probably does not even know where Myanmar is and $400 million obtained by the anti-establishment forces from the Biden Harris administration is no longer on the plate. But engagement with EU is an open option.

So what does EU want? You can list down from the impossible missions to the softballs. For example, talking with the NUG is a no-no for the government. Their baseline of kicking Tatmataw out of the constitution is an unworkable option. Moreover, many in the military and its supporters feel that talking to them would be worse than a stab in the heart, after NNCP terrorists killed many of their friends and kins. May be releasing one of the jailed leader of an ILO-approved union might be practical, but the government has to ensure that it can get some benefit out of this route.

Then there is the issue of Su Kyi.

Many of us believed she has to serve time for the crimes she had committed, especially on elections and financial frauds. So, she has to do time. But based on current status quo, sentencing for some of the crimes she has committed would not be begin till probably after the next election.By that time, she is already 80+ years old. From the practical standpoint, how many more years could she live? During her time in jail, she would always be a pain in the ass for the diplomatic relations between the West and Myanmar.
Even if she die while in prison, the government would still get blamed for that. Knowing how the Myanmar leaders doing good deeds, she is likely to be like released after a couple of years in jail, via presidential pardon or health reasons. Say, she is released at 82. If she is still able bodied, she would likely do a Shaun Turnell and would not keep her mouth shut. Who can realistically promise she would not cause another uprising?? However, if she is in another country, just like Turnell, the assumption is that she would not even be half as effective as being in town. So we can agree that Su Kyi being out in the open in the country, alive and kicking is bad for the stability of Myanmar. Could there possibly be another option?

What if we strike a deal with EU, to send her off to one of those European countries and let her kick the bucket over there. On the surface it seems like she is escaping justice. From the practical stand point, the end result would seem to be the same. Jail time could result in a short parole or death, both of which are bad for the country and the government. Releasing her might cause much emotional pain, but the country might gain on the diplomatic, trade and development front as a whole, with the West, provided the government knows how to demand properly. Once she is out of sight, she could be out of the minds of many. Would that not be a good thing after all? The thing of ultimate importance is that the government has to ensure that it earns enough credits, get back all the money being detained illegally in the West and trade concessions from such a deal while doing something whose result is substantially different from the other atternative. She would be forever gone. The thorn would be once and for all, removed. The talk that she is no future in Myanmar politics would become a reality. The devil and the deep blue sea are not so different after all.

The only real threat would be what if she became a liability overseas like Pan Sallo, who had become a multi millionaire in the US, from donations by the Myanmar diaspora while continuing to kill many innocent civilians back in Myanmar. It’s the risk that Myanmar is unable to take.

Latest Videos

Interview with Alison Fox Principal of The British School Yangon

Interview with Alison Fox Principal of The British School Yangon

Recent Posts